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Elite deals prop up Kenya’s weak political stability

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KENYA

Among other things, the three leaders discussed Odinga’s ambitions to become chairman of the African Union (AU) Commission. Alongside reform proposals made by a National Dialogue…

North Caucasus will remain under Moscow's control

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RUSSIA

Russia has managed to ensure relative order and stability in the region in recent years, with transfers from the federal budget helping tame local opposition groups that…

Tunisia's economic challenges show no sign of abating

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TUNISIA

The economic situation is challenging: unemployment was 16.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023, and work and business opportunities are limited. The government has avoided a debt…

South Sudan elections may face further delays

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SOUTH SUDAN

However, despite considerable progress towards new electoral legislation, senior leaders from the ruling Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM) are already suggesting the…

The Gaza war will worsen Jordan’s long-term debt risk

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JORDAN

He was speaking at the signing ceremony for the first USD845mn grant bolstering the national budget, under a new agreement signed this year. The Gaza war has exacerbated concerns…

Afghanistan’s economic outlook is bleak

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AFGHANISTAN

Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban want production to expand to 19,000 b/d shortly. They are counting on the extractives sector to help boost revenue and shore up the flailing economy.

Lebanon risks hyperinflation and forced dollarisation

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LEBANON

It highlighted how the severe, three-year crisis has been deepened by “a failure to take much needed policy action” and “resistance from vested interests to reforms”. It also…

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

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RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

Haiti’s economic stagnation will endure

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HAITI

Negative growth was seen across all major sectors, including agriculture, services and construction. On the demand side, the situation remains grim, with private investment…

Honeymoon period of Panama’s Mulino will be brief

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PANAMA

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…