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Prospects for Turkey in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Fiscal and monetary stimuli and a policy-induced credit boom have combined with the broad normalisation of social life to contain COVID-19's impact on economic output. However…

Middle Eastern airlines face massive potential losses

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MIDDLE EAST

The COVID-19 outbreak is the latest blow to civil aviation in the Middle East, where airlines already face unprecedented security risks and operational complexities. Carriers…

Prospects for Iran in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

If the United States and Iran agree to renew the 2015 multilateral nuclear deal, it will trigger an economic and political rebound for Iran, but Rouhani will face pressure from…

UNRWA row fallout could devastate Gaza Palestinians

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PALESTINIANS

Also yesterday, the head of the Saudi humanitarian agency emphasised that some countries’ decisions to halt UNRWA funding risked “aiding” the deaths of Gaza civilians. Some 1.9…

Prospects for Iran to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

Politicians will increasingly look to presidential polls due in 2021, further weakening the incumbent. The external environment remains largely unfavourable.

Morocco royalist parties will easily form a government

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MOROCCO

Meanwhile, the moderate Islamist Justice and Development Party (PJD), which has headed the government since 2011, suffered a humiliating defeat. Changes in the electoral system…

Lebanese government will likely limp toward reform

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LEBANON

The cabinet held its first meeting on February 2, ending 254 days of political deadlock that threatened to bring down the economy.

Israeli parties will struggle to agree any coalition

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ISRAEL

COVID-19 restrictions are slowing the final count, but seat projections suggest neither Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s bloc nor his opponents have a clear path to a majority…

Iraqi efforts to curb Iran energy dependence will fail

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IRAQ/IRAN

Failures of Iranian gas and electricity supplies have combined with attacks on pylons and a heatwave to cause severe power cuts in Iraq this summer. In the longer term, Tehran’s…

Prospects for Turkey to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for Turkey to end-2021.