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COVID-19 response may disrupt power balances in Iran

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IRAN

The Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC), together with its Basij militia, has partly restored its reputation for effective action. At the same time, new local civil society…

Prospects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

The coming year will see many come to a head, with potentially far-reaching consequences.

South Sudan’s humanitarian crisis will deepen

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SOUTH SUDAN

Since South Sudan’s conflict entered its most recent phase in July, humanitarian needs have risen. Donors and relief agencies will prepare for another year of a large-scale…

Biden’s team will try to reset engagement with Africa

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AFRICA/US

This may see a redefining of US-Africa policy compared to the Trump administration’s focus on competition with China, including: resolving questions surrounding the role for US…

East Africa's humanitarian needs may increase

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EAST AFRICA

While South Sudan is one of the world's most alarming humanitarian crises, East Africa has a history of protracted and severe emergencies. Beyond the human and societal costs…

Central America faces major challenges in 2021

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CENTRAL AMERICA

While governments have begun tentative efforts to restart economic activity, the crisis is far from over. It looks sure to shape the main issues of 2021, exacerbating all the…

South African budget prompts cheer and wider divisions

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SOUTH AFRICA

However, cuts to the social grants budget and a continued focus on the planned three-year wage freeze for civil servants has annoyed (among others) the ruling ANC's ‘Tripartite…

Humanitarian funding to Jordan will fall

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JORDAN

While donors increasingly favour development assistance, Jordan still requires emergency humanitarian aid for the near-3 million resident refugees and migrants. Amman worries that…

South African relief plan will not halt further slide

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SOUTH AFRICA

South African relief package.

New Romanian coalition will retreat from reform

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ROMANIA

This autumn, bitter conflict between the National Liberal Party (PNL) and the Save Romania Union (USR) ended a brief period of centre-right rule, after years of domination by the…