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Ethiopia may fail to deliver on transitional justice

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ETHIOPIA

The policy includes some changes from the justice ministry’s initial draft, most significantly the removal of a proposal for a special court to prosecute the most serious crimes…

Sudan’s new cabinet faces daunting challenges

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SUDAN

The cabinet deviates sharply from the more technocratic cabinets under the transition thus far, as armed opposition and political leaders have now been brought into a much…

Sudan’s partial peace deal builds positive momentum

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SUDAN

The deal represents a significant milestone in both the peace process and the wider transition. However, it remains only a partial peace, given the absence of the main armed…

Tensions with northern Mali could be destabilising

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MALI

The CMA fears that the new regime may disregard the 2015 Algiers Accord that ended the rebellion, especially following the appointment of a premier who has previously spoken…

South Sudan sanctions will prove largely symbolic

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SOUTH SUDAN

Impact and outlook for sanctions in South Sudan.

Militias could push the Syrian president towards Iran

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SYRIA

President Bashar al-Assad does not control most of the local and foreign militias that operate in his name in Syria. Some of those follow the policies of Iran’s Islamic Revolution…

Unity will be elusive despite new South Sudan cabinet

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SOUTH SUDAN

It follows rebel leader Riek Machar's return to the capital and inauguration as vice-president on April 26. The TGNU's formation is central to the peace agreement signed in August…

Libya's idiosyncratic history will slow peace progress

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LIBYA

On April 25, Serraj asked Russia to help stop the conflict during a meeting with Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov. Over a year since the UN-backed Government of…

Southern Yemen deal will require added Saudi pressure

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YEMEN

The government was ejected from the city in clashes with the separatist Southern Transitional Council (STC) in August. Earlier this month, the sides signed a Saudi-brokered peace…

Yemen war may see a lull, but peace prospects are poor

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YEMEN

This complicates direct talks that began recently between Saudi Arabia and the Huthis on a resolution to the wider conflict. Meanwhile, the first visible signs of progress in…