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Iraqi Kurdistan may lose its 'safe haven' reputation

Location:

IRAQ

Baghdad and Erbil are currently negotiating a new budget agreement covering oil revenue and fiscal transfers, which could provide immediate relief. However, internal divisions are…

Kuwait faces a deferred liquidity crunch

Location:

KUWAIT

The impact of the pandemic and especially lower oil prices hit the government budget hard, since more than nine-tenths of revenue comes from oil sales. However, the country also…

Suriname's opposition will struggle to cement victory

Location:

SURINAME

This would displace the incumbent Nationale Democratische Partij (National Democratic Party, NDP) of President Desire ‘Desi’ Bouterse, which has been in power since 2010. Bouterse…

International intervention will aid Venezuela's Maduro

Location:

VENEZUELA

Responding to the COVID-19 pandemic has enabled President Nicolas Maduro to stabilise his domestic position. The government is leveraging humanitarian needs to bypass US…

Yemen’s war will restart if UN talks fail

Location:

YEMEN

Both sides -- the internationally recognised Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) and the Huthi -- appear ready to give Grundberg a little more time to secure a new agreement…

Iraqi protests will fizzle out -- for now

Location:

IRAQ

The demonstrations first began on July 7 but died down in recent days. Riding the wave of dissent, the provincial council of oil-rich Basra province voted on July 22 to begin the…

Guyana budget largesse will bring risks and rewards

Location:

GUYANA

This spending will be funded through oil royalties and also through rising economic growth as a result of the growing oil industry. The government of President Irfaan Ali is…

Prospects for Colombia in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

His Historic Pact suffered a major setback in October’s local elections, with opposition figures set to govern some of Colombia’s largest cities (including Bogota) from January 1…

Iraqi Kurds’ economic trap will drive instability

Location:

IRAQ

The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) emphasised it had sent the federal finance ministry a promised full list of employees on April 21; however, Baghdad sources said…

Brazil's Rousseff faces bleak second-term panorama

Location:

BRAZIL

Only a month into her second term, President Dilma Rousseff faces an increasingly complicated panorama. In addition to fallout from corruption investigations into state-controlled…