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Brazil's Bolsonaro will become increasingly isolated

Location:

BRAZIL

The moves raised concerns that Bolsonaro was preparing the ground for a new coup as he faced growing criticism of his mishandling of the pandemic and the economic and social…

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2019.

Bolivia’s Anez is unlikely to secure election

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BOLIVIA

The move came in response to pressure amid growing criticism of her handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, which she has been accused of using to install herself in office…

Ramaphosa’s government faces social relief dilemmas

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SOUTH AFRICA

The pandemic has sharpened questions about the role of South Africa's extensive social grants system in wider economic policy. In particular, emergency provisions have focused…

Instability will rise ahead of Argentine elections

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ARGENTINA

Apart from mounting frustration and economic pain, there is a marked shift in public opinion away from Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). Much remains unclear…

Presidential run-off will be unpredictable in Peru

Location:

PERU

This has been exacerbated by corruption scandals and, more recently, the negative socioeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. There will now be a second round of voting in…

Costa Rica’s pandemic response faces political hurdles

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COSTA RICA

In August, it asked the IMF for a USD1.75bn credit under the Extended Fund Facility. This will come on top of the USD504mn approved by the IMF for emergency financial assistance…

Racial divisions will shape 2016 election outcome

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UNITED STATES

Race relations and the 2016 US election.

Lithuanian conservative parties will win October vote

Location:

LITHUANIA

Gitanas Nauseda won the second-round presidential election on May 26, 2019, by 67% to Ingrida Simonyte’s 33%. Both ran as independents; the opposition conservative Homeland…

Elections could destabilise central Andean states

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

All are suffering from uncertainties posed by the impact of the COVID-19 crisis, but also by social divides and institutional weaknesses. These pose major uncertainties as to…