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A transitional UK-EU Brexit deal is likely

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EU/UK

The nature of Brexit and its medium-term implications will only become clear as the negotiations surrounding Article 50 and any longer-term trade deal get under way. The nature of…

Developing world will push for climate action at COP23

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INT/UN

Much of the formal agenda consists of work of a technical nature to develop rules and procedures to implement the Paris Agreement. However, Fiji, the first island state to serve…

Paris climate summit aims to avoid Copenhagen mistakes

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INTERNATIONAL

Climate policy will be of high international attention in the lead up to the UN's climate change summit in Paris in December (COP 21). The political and economic climate makes it…

Colombia's future rests on justice talks

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COLOMBIA

As Colombia's peace talks approach their apparent end date, justice issues are a major sticking point.

Uncertainty around UK Brexit legislation will be high

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UNITED KINGDOM

The UK government’s path to March 29, 2019, when the United Kingdom is due to leave the EU, could be blocked by parliament. There is the headline legislative work of passing any…

Unstable politics may make trade deals uncertain

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INTERNATIONAL

Politics and trade talks.

Ethiopia-Egypt dam disputes may de-escalate

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ETHIOPIA/EGYPT

The nearly completed mega-dam has been a source of immense friction between Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan, but recent developments could create space to de-escalate.

Europe may face tough choices on future of Iran deal

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IRAN/EUROPE

Last month, Tehran announced that it would reduce adherence to certain commitments under the agreement unless other signatories afforded it the promised economic gains.

Colombian and Mexican extradition norms will diverge

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COLOMBIA/MEXICO

Sending high-level criminals to face incarceration in the United States is a perpetual source of controversy in both Colombia and Mexico.

Pressure for US-Africa policy shift on AGOA will grow

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US/AFRICA

AGOA provides the central mechanism for US-Africa trade, but expires in 2025. This gives the upcoming meeting added weight as pressure is growing for the contours of the future…