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The great GDP contraction may herald huge crowding out

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INTERNATIONAL

Economic stimulus schemes and gaps.

South Africa vaccine plan will struggle to convince

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SOUTH AFRICA

President Cyril Ramaphosa's government has been criticised for tardy and inefficient vaccine procurement, as well as lack of transparency and accountability. It has recently…

Berlin summit will widen Balkan economic integration

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EU/BALKANS

The deals facilitate travel between the countries and enhance workforce mobility by recognising academic and professional qualifications. They mark an important step towards…

Prospects for African economies in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

However, this recovery remains below global growth for the second consecutive year, further widening global income disparities and possibly undermining crucial domestic spending…

Prospects for a close EU-UK trade deal are not good

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UK/EU

UK-EU trade talks.

Second COVID-19 wave will test Madagascar’s Rajoelina

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MADAGASCAR

However, with a second wave underway and the mining and tourism sectors -- key foreign exchange earners -- upended, he recently changed tack, authorising an immunisation programme…

New Romanian coalition will retreat from reform

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ROMANIA

This autumn, bitter conflict between the National Liberal Party (PNL) and the Save Romania Union (USR) ended a brief period of centre-right rule, after years of domination by the…

North-west Nigerian insecurity faces new escalation

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NIGERIA

The claim that one of Boko Haram’s factions sponsored the Kankara attack reinforces fears that jihadist outreach to bandit groups is succeeding and that violence will grow in…

Aid cuts would hit US influence

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UNITED STATES

On January 18, a Gallup study found that global approval of US leadership had fallen to 30%, a record low, down from 48% in 2016 and 1 percentage point behind China; Germany has…

Crises could cause Palestinian Authority to collapse

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PALESTINIANS

The PA faces financial collapse and a leadership and security crisis. It provides education, health and other government services to the great majority of Palestinians and shares…