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Ukraine war unlikely to transform EU-UK security ties

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EU/UK

It has required a degree of EU-UK coordination, especially to facilitate the implementation of sanctions imposed on Russia’s economy, leadership and regime-supporting elite…

Ukraine war will force tough foreign choices on Serbia

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SERBIA

The war in Ukraine challenges that policy. The West is certain to apply all its leverage to get Belgrade to join Western sanctions against Russia and take a stand on the war.

Moscow’s control over Belarusian military will grow

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BELARUS

Moscow’s influence over Belarus has grown stronger since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, when part of Russia’s invasion force entered from Belarus. The latest…

NATO will integrate Ukraine gradually

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NATO

Intensified cooperation with NATO, including arms transfers and intelligence sharing, has led to a significant upgrade of Ukraine’s military capabilities and capacity to fight…

Karabakh 'drone war' important but not seismic shift

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CAUCASUS

Earlier this month, Ukraine announced plans to buy more Bayraktars on top of those it has already purchased. The use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in the war over…

Russia will spur East European modernised air defence

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EASTERN EUROPE

The contract is part of a continuing and massive effort to modernise and enhance air defence capability across Central-Eastern Europe (CEE) in the face of Russia’s aggression in…

Russia's integration of Ukrainian lands will be patchy

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UKRAINE/RUSSIA

Annexation has not proceeded smoothly, despite talk of streamlined political and economic integration. Limited control of the four 'new regions', continuing warfare and…

Moldova and Ukraine to upgrade cross-border links

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MOLDOVA/UKRAINE

Chisinau is pursuing an overhaul of critical cross-border infrastructure. Modernising railway and road networks could provide neighbouring Ukraine with another corridor to the EU…

Ukrainian refugees will stretch eastern EU’s welcome

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EASTERN EU

The war in Ukraine is uniting Central-East European (CEE) populations in support of Ukrainians and against ties with the Putin government. However, it is muddying attitudes to…

AI raises the stakes in wars globally

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INTERNATIONAL

Leading powers are expending enormous human and financial resources to leverage AI tools for military purposes, with uncertain effects. Academic and think-tank discussions about…