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Risk and Opportunities, 2018, Part 2

Location:

INT

Political legitimacy of leaders will be the focus of many of 2018’s elections

Are Latin American voters wearying of democracy?

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LATIN AMERICA

Voter turnout is falling in many countries as dissatisfaction with corruption and policy-making mount

African coup risk will be regionally concentrated

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AFRICA

Gabon and Niger have both experienced coups this year, raising concerns over wider coup risks

Coronavirus makes for precarious politics in East Asia

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EAST ASIA

The effects of the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak will be felt much further than the disease's actual spread

Internet shutdowns raise risks across Global South

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INT

Governments across the developing world are regularly shutting down online communication to restore political control

Ethiopia stands on the brink of a deepening crisis

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ETHIOPIA

In the shadow of the conflict in Tigray, Ethiopia faces a multiplicity of regional conflicts

China reaches political crossroads as economy matures

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CHINA

The balance China has traditionally struck between economic openness and political repression may not hold much longer

Succession crisis risk is rising in the Middle East

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MIDDLE EAST

The nature of the region's governments makes them highly vulnerable to crisis during power handovers

COVID-19 election delays could dent democracies

Location:

INT

The pandemic is forcing countries to delay elections or find other ways to conduct them

Political variables may delay Middle Eastern elections

Location:

MENA

Polls in the Middle East and North Africa rarely transfer power, but are still important tools of political contestation