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France’s Macron shifts focus to elections

Location:

FRANCE

Macron hopes Attal can rescue his centrist alliance from a defeat by Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) in the EU elections in June. In the longer term, he has anointed…

Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

Location:

GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…

Romania will not meet OECD goals by date set

Location:

ROMANIA

The government regards joining the OECD as a national objective. Having opened accession negotiations in January 2022 and received its roadmap that June, the publication last…

Iron ore is set to face a supply surplus from 2025/26

Location:

INT

Beijing seeks to reduce price volatility for ore and hence steel through market restructuring and to increase Chinese self-sufficiency. This comes at a time when ore exporters…

Australian income tax changes will have limited impact

Location:

AUSTRALIA

Labor’s changes reduce help for higher earners and instead prioritise workers on low and middle incomes. Parties on the political right have condemned the move, but opinion polls…

Salafist influence will have limits in West Africa

Location:

WEST AFRICA

Although Salafism lies at the core of jihadist ideology, it is also central to the lives of millions of people who have no connection to or sympathy with religiously inspired…

Militia abuses may increase in Niger

Location:

NIGER

This has sparked the growth of ethnic Zarma self-defence militias, known locally as ‘zankai’. These militias reflect broader communal self-defence efforts, often arising because…

Varying economic performance metrics muddy the outlook

Location:

UNITED STATES

Estimates of income rather than output, of household rather than firms' employment, and of real rather than nominal wages often diverge, but the gap has widened since the…

Latin American politicians will court evangelical vote

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

However, academic research shows no regional pattern in terms of their political identity or voting behaviour. This is also the case among Catholics. Studies also show that the…

China will remain a key investment destination

Location:

CHINA

A crackdown by the authorities on foreign multinationals operating in China, via an amended anti-espionage law, and tightening data control have emerged as considerable…