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Article
Publication date: 14 June 2018

Inkyo Cheong and Jose Tongzon

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the economic impact of a rising US trade protectionism on the economies of China, Japan, South Korea and the ASEAN countries and draw out…

1537

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the economic impact of a rising US trade protectionism on the economies of China, Japan, South Korea and the ASEAN countries and draw out some policy and strategic implications for the USA and East Asia.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors employ a computable general equilibrium approach supplemented with qualitative analyses based on empirical evidence.

Findings

An increase in US import tariffs would result in economic losses for the USA and the corresponding country or region to which the import tariff increase is applied. An increase in US import tariffs for Chinese goods alone would not have any spillover effects on other East Asian countries. But, an imposition of a border adjustment tax (BAT) for all countries and for all products would actually boost US economic growth. Advanced economies would enjoy GDP increases, but China, Korea and the ASEAN countries would face an economic loss in a longer term period, although they would enjoy some growth in the short term. However, when the BAT only applies to a specific East Asian country, USA would suffer an economic loss, with the exception of a BAT specifically targeted at the ASEAN countries. ASEAN countries would not experience any economic loss under all scenarios except in the case of import tariffs specifically targeted at ASEAN.

Research limitations/implications

From the US perspective, it is beneficial to adopt a BAT for all countries and across the board. Under this arrangement, there would be an economic loss for China, Korea and the ASEAN countries in the longer term. An increase in US trade protectionism would only push the East Asian countries towards deeper economic integration, with serious implications for global pattern of trade and investment.

Originality/value

The existing literature on the likely economic impact of US trade protectionism on East Asia is very scarce and based on surveys and subjective speculations. This study uses a quantitative method based on empirical evidence.

Details

Journal of Korea Trade, vol. 22 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1229-828X

Keywords

Book part
Publication date: 21 October 2019

Ari Van Assche and Byron Gangnes

Many multinational firms attempt to cope with trade policy uncertainties by developing the option of manufacturing their goods in multiple production facilities in different…

Abstract

Many multinational firms attempt to cope with trade policy uncertainties by developing the option of manufacturing their goods in multiple production facilities in different countries. In this chapter, we explore how such “production switching” options affect the vulnerability of a country’s exports to foreign protectionism. We present a theoretical model of such behavior and show that production switching increases the elasticity of a country’s export with respect to tariffs. The magnitude of the elasticity depends on a country’s position in the value chain. We use the model’s predictions to provide new insights into the vulnerability of China’s exports during the current Sino–US trade war.

Details

International Business in a VUCA World: The Changing Role of States and Firms
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83867-256-0

Keywords

Executive summary
Publication date: 29 March 2017

INDIA-US: US protectionism may sour India ties

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES219930

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Topical
Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 March 2017

Outlook for the US-India defence procurement relationship.

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB218622

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Topical
Article
Publication date: 1 January 1987

Wesley J. Johnston and Heon D. Yoon

Protectionist legislation has experienced a resurgence in the US. The legislation aimed at the textile and apparel industry has proceeded the furthest. It serves as an excellent…

Abstract

Protectionist legislation has experienced a resurgence in the US. The legislation aimed at the textile and apparel industry has proceeded the furthest. It serves as an excellent case to examine the arguments for and against protectionism, the strategies for textile and apparel marketers should such legislation be enacted and alternatives to protectionist legislation. The possibility that some form of legislation may succeed is high. Both policy‐makers and managers in potentially affected industries need to be aware of strategies and problems after a trade enforcement act.

Details

International Marketing Review, vol. 4 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0265-1335

Open Access
Article
Publication date: 31 December 2018

Jungsuk Kim, Insoo Pyo and Jacob Wood

This study analyzes the policy initiatives that have been adopted by the US government since the 1930s. We document the institutional bodies responsible for the implementation of…

Abstract

This study analyzes the policy initiatives that have been adopted by the US government since the 1930s. We document the institutional bodies responsible for the implementation of trade policy, as well as the objectives and decision making practices that are associated with policy formation. We also examine the new institutional movement of the Trump Administration’s neo-protectionist “America First” trade policy and its potential impact on the Asian region. Finally, our study examines the recent renegotiation of Korea-US FTA from a perspective of each country’s internal decision making process and discusses a number of issues that have relevant applications for Korea. The results from our analysis show that U.S trade policy show that despite a long period of an open and liberalized trade policy focus, recent neo-protectionist measures by President Trump could lead to potential trade wars and a return to the beggar-thy-neighbor policies of the 1930s. Such an anti-globalization agenda could have dire consequences for export dependent countries in the Asian region.

Details

Journal of International Logistics and Trade, vol. 16 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1738-2122

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 4 January 2011

Mohamed Ali Trabelsi

The aim of this paper is to analyse the different measures taken by the G7 and G20 leaders to face the current global financial crisis and to show whether such decisions represent…

7042

Abstract

Purpose

The aim of this paper is to analyse the different measures taken by the G7 and G20 leaders to face the current global financial crisis and to show whether such decisions represent a return to protectionism.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper proposes the introduction of a new economic system based on Islamic banks' principle which calls for cancelling interests. This line of thinking might solve speculation problems and put this type of crisis to an end.

Findings

This financial crisis pushed most developed countries to lower their banking rates and to implement null‐approximating interest rates, a move which replicates the principle adopted by Islamic banks.

Originality/value

The paper represents a point of view on the financial crisis, the return to protectionism and the role of Islamic banking.

Details

The Journal of Risk Finance, vol. 12 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1526-5943

Keywords

Content available

Abstract

Details

Journal of Korea Trade, vol. 22 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1229-828X

Graphic analysis
Publication date: 16 February 2017

With over 80% of Mexico’s exports going to the United States, US protectionism could do untold harm to Mexico’s economy

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-GA218026

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Topical
Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 June 2017
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for India to end-2017

Prospects for India to end-2017.

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