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Dutch parties will find it hard to reject Wilders

Location:

NETHERLANDS

Wilders has attempted to moderate his positions to attract potential coalition partners. He will need the support of the centre-right Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) and New…

UK election will determine direction of EU relations

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM/EU

Labour has indicated that, if elected, it would pursue closer regulatory alignment and deals on security and mobility with the EU. The party has denied reports it might consider…

Prospects for the US economy in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

The Federal Reserve (Fed) has raised interest rates from zero in March 2022 to 5.25-5.5% and has reduced its bond holdings from nearly USD9tn to USD7.8tn. While the Inflation…

Croatia will likely shift further to the right

Location:

CROATIA

The HDZ has begun preliminary coalition talks with the far-right Homeland Movement, which finished in third place. The election has exacerbated deep tensions between Prime…

South Africa’s demographic shifts will alter politics

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

The results show a growing population, and significant demographic shifts within provinces, most notably in the economic powerhouses of Gauteng and Western Cape. However, the…

Far right stands to benefit from Dutch tensions

Location:

NETHERLANDS

Omtzigt cited concerns over government finances as a reason for leaving the talks. The other three parties appear content with the talks and will continue negotiating.

Spanish compromise over amnesty is likely

Location:

SPAIN

The bill was introduced as part of a deal to convince JxCat to support Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez’s minority government, so its approval is crucial for government stability.

Portugal faces period of heightened instability

Location:

PORTUGAL

AD won the March 10 election by a narrow margin, well short of a majority, with the outgoing Socialist Party (PS) a close second and the radical right Chega in third. Together…

Congressional support will assist Guatemala’s Arevalo

Location:

GUATEMALA

A Constitutional Court ruling barring members of his Movimiento Semilla (Seed Movement, Semilla) from holding congressional leadership positions will constrain the party’s room…

Romania will not meet OECD goals by date set

Location:

ROMANIA

The government regards joining the OECD as a national objective. Having opened accession negotiations in January 2022 and received its roadmap that June, the publication last…