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Mauritania's elite will suppress racial tensions

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MAURITANIA

These have also been recently exacerbated by the June 19 election of Mohamed Ould Meguett, accused of involvement in massacres of black troops, as National Assembly president. The…

Burkinabe army abuses may undermine mobilisation aims

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BURKINA FASO

Government efforts to combat jihadist insurgents that contest control of half the country have stalled, despite increased army and militia recruitment and the imposition of…

Papua New Guinea instability will increase

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PAPUA NEW GUINEA

Marape's government is attempting to manage growing political fallout from widespread rioting in January, economic dislocation arising from fuel shortages and a spiralling…

Conflict may intensify after failed Ethiopia-OLA talks

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ETHIOPIA

This was the second attempt at resolving the intractable conflict in Oromia that has killed thousands and displaced millions. Moreover, hopes of a resolution this time had been…

Discontent in east Libya will be quashed

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LIBYA

From the influential Awagir tribe, Bargathi was assured by eastern-based forces that it was safe for him to return to his hometown, but clashes erupted after his arrival…

MINUSMA expulsion may aggravate Malian instability

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MALI

MINUSMA currently comprises some 15,000 soldiers and police. The decision follows a long trend of deteriorating relations between Mali’s junta and its international partners.

Rising pressures will hamper Nepal government

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NEPAL

The impasse ended with an agreement on forming a probe commission. Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal (‘Prachanda’) is trying to manage the fallout from other controversies as…

Burkina Faso will tightly control Russian presence

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BURKINA FASO

Meanwhile, junta leader Captain Ibrahim Traore’s increasingly evident desire to hang onto power indefinitely is having dire domestic repercussions, including a muzzled press, a…

Mali's opposition will struggle to challenge the junta

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MALI

Presidential elections were indefinitely postponed in September 2023. Prime Minister Choguel Maiga has stated that persistent insecurity means that elections are unrealistic…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

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ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…