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Nigeria intel failures will hinder counter-terrorism

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NIGERIA

Although criticisms targeting the DSS are long-standing, no recent Nigerian government has attempted major intelligence reforms.

Opposition will force strategy shifts in Venezuela

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VENEZUELA

The opposition Unitary Platform has aligned behind relative unknown and former diplomat Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia. President Nicolas Maduro’s government overshadowed the unveiling…

Jihadist growth may accelerate in the Sahel

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SAHEL

Violence also appears to be escalating in Niger since the July 2023 coup there. The ruling military juntas in all three countries have followed the same basic strategy of…

Russia will employ new military unit across Africa

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RUSSIA

Unlike the Wagner private military company (PMC), it is subordinated to the Russian state. The first confirmed deployment of African Corps forces is to Burkina Faso, where it will…

Switzerland will be slow to harden its China position

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SWITZERLAND/CHINA

Among the priorities in the declaration is updating the Swiss-Chinese free trade agreement (FTA) and simplifying travel procedures between the two countries. Switzerland’s…

Ethiopia may fail to deliver on transitional justice

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ETHIOPIA

The policy includes some changes from the justice ministry’s initial draft, most significantly the removal of a proposal for a special court to prosecute the most serious crimes…

Fast Ecuador security wins stoke longer-term issues

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ECUADOR

He declared a state of emergency on January 9, giving the military a central role in tackling the crisis. The militarisation of security policy has reduced crime and increased…

Venezuela election moves could see renewed sanctions

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VENEZUELA

Incumbent Nicolas Maduro will contest a third term, having been chosen as the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV)’s candidate by ‘acclamation’. Under the electoral…

AI's promise and pitfalls will affect key domains

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INT

AI promises to drive economic efficiencies across sectors, improve the delivery of critical services such as healthcare, democratise access to knowledge and skills, and tighten…

Geopolitics of AI technical standards will heat up

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INT

This divergence has made the question of AI-related technical standards a particular area of commercial and geopolitical interest. China's priorities lie more in creating a market…