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Honeymoon period of Panama’s Mulino will be brief

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PANAMA

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

Ecuador referendum raises Noboa re-election doubts

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ECUADOR

Noboa’s order earlier this month to remove former Vice-President Jorge Glas (2013-17) forcibly from Mexico’s Quito embassy intensified opposition to his government from the…

Pyongyang’s Beijing and Moscow ties will be complex

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NORTH KOREA/CHINA/RUSSIA

The PoE has since 2009 reported regularly on North Korea’s violations of UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions. Beijing and Moscow are resisting an ineffective UN sanctions…

Turkey will reduce inflation gradually

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TURKEY

Although the central bank has increased interest rates substantially since June 2023, the effects on economic activity and inflation have been limited. Prices and policy…

Germany’s CDU will shift further to the right

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GERMANY

After months of internal division, the CDU’s senior figures united behind leader Friedrich Merz, elected a new executive and adopted a new programme that marks a reversion to…

Russian aircraft plan will face serious obstacles

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RUSSIA

With sanctions barring access to Western aircraft, Moscow intends to develop fully indigenous production and to replace hundreds of foreign-built airliners with domestic…

Kenya’s new budget targets significantly lower deficit

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KENYA

After redeeming much of its USD2bn Eurobond in February, the government has effectively dispelled fears of a default. Nevertheless, it remains under pressure to consolidate public…

Geothermal energy production will grow in East Africa

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EAST AFRICA

The plan envisages a massive expansion of geothermal energy, through the sinking of 57 new wells across six major steam fields, which would make Kenya the world’s fourth-largest…

China’s army will step up reform efforts

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CHINA

This was consistent with a long-running emphasis on preparing the PLA for future warfare that involves new types of informational and technological dynamics. One effect will be to…

Ukraine's nuclear dependence on Russia will decline

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UKRAINE

Nuclear power plants (NPPs) account for over 50% of the electricity supply in Ukraine. Kyiv has been seeking to break its dependence on Russia in all spheres of the nuclear supply…