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Inclusion will prove critical to Sudan peace process

Location:

SUDAN

The resulting ‘Addis Ababa Declaration’ has provoked stern scrutiny of Tagadom’s legitimacy, as well as broader reflection on the importance of a peace process that is genuinely…

India will be vigilant but not worried about al-Qaida

Location:

INDIA

The authorities do not appear especially concerned about the threat posed by the group, but there is sure to be an overall tightening of security during the general election…

EU will struggle to meet new climate targets

Location:

EU

If approved, the targets will profoundly shape EU economic and environmental policy over the next two decades. The power sector will bear most of the decarbonisation burden to…

Islamic State poses limited threat in Afghanistan

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Some observers have suggested that this is a sign of an IS-K resurgence. The ruling Taliban have tried hard since their takeover in 2021 to suppress the group, a long-standing…

ASEAN AI Guide is a modest but notable step

Location:

ASEAN

ASEAN's first attempt to formulate a stand-alone framework on artificial intelligence (AI), the guide is non-binding and covers AI systems broadly rather than focusing on…

ISWAP may bounce back from setbacks in Nigeria

Location:

NIGERIA

ISWAP activity has spiked lately following over a year of pressure from security forces and rival jihadist faction, Jama’at Ahl al Sunna Lid’Dawati wal Jihad (JAS), the rump core…

Venezuela election moves could see renewed sanctions

Location:

VENEZUELA

Incumbent Nicolas Maduro will contest a third term, having been chosen as the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV)’s candidate by ‘acclamation’. Under the electoral…

Drug trafficking will worsen insecurity in Costa Rica

Location:

COSTA RICA

Security officials blame the spike in violence on the influence of drug trafficking organisations (DTOs), which have long transited the country but which increasingly are vying to…

Kremlin will tighten control over information space

Location:

RUSSIA

This has enabled the leadership to manage vulnerabilities ahead of a vote intended to legitimise President Vladimir Putin's continued rule. However, the authorities’ efforts to…

Algeria will pursue stronger ties in the Sahel

Location:

ALGERIA

In February, President Abdelmadjid Tebboune announced that Algeria is planning free trade zones with Niger and Mali, despite increasingly volatile ties with the latter. That same…