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Elections analysis versus prediction.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB211888
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Political risk forecasting in the age of Trump.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB236894
ISSN: 2633-304X
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This was the largest FOCAC event ever, bringing together leaders of 53 African countries and their Chinese counterparts. The event aimed to reinvigorate the Sino-African…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB289631
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The decision took many by surprise as the three East African nations are less ready than other contenders to hold such an event. As such, the decision also raises serious…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282712
ISSN: 2633-304X
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For the first time in the eleven-year history of the survey, no economic risk makes the list of the top five most likely or biggest impact risks. In contrast, large-scale…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB217325
ISSN: 2633-304X
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North Macedonia’s government and EU member states have welcomed a framework proposed in the final days of France’s EU Council presidency for opening EU accession talks with…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB271379
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The government's eagerness to take advantage of the event has helped turn it into a political and propaganda battleground for Israel and the Palestinians. Indeed, intense fighting…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB243883
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Ahead of the rollout of the Liberal government’s new defence white paper, Minister of Foreign Affairs Chrystia Freeland delivered a speech in the House of Commons arguing that…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB221434
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The arrangement, which will come into effect nationwide from August 3, is intended initially to last for six months. It represents the furthest that any government has managed to…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279998
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The anodyne conclusions were not a surprise. However, rival senior Taliban figures used the event to float more liberal policies and call for greater pragmatism.