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Early Argentine economic successes are unsustainable

Location:

ARGENTINA

The government has posted the first fiscal surplus in years, inflation has declined and foreign currency reserves have risen from USD21.0bn in mid-December to USD28.5bn. However…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

China’s grain production will be focused in the north

Location:

CHINA

The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs said that the country’s 37 genetically modified (GM) corn varieties and 14 GM soybean varieties have passed preliminary examinations…

Eastern Europe's rate policies diverge with Czech cut

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

No easy fix to fertiliser non-greenness

Location:

INT

Fertiliser use will grow, driven by population growth in developing economies. Emissions from fertiliser use will also grow, as decarbonisation options are high-cost and difficult…

Long-delayed Romanian motorway will help Ukraine

Location:

ROMANIA

This offers Ukraine enhanced connectivity to the EU, increasing the volume of throughputs in response to Russia’s restrictions on Black Sea shipping, but also responding to…

Peru's growth will remain sluggish this year

Location:

PERU

The economy is increasingly dependent on the mining sector and on mineral sales to China. The domestic economy remains hampered by depressed internal demand.

Sea-level rise to necessitate adaptation globally

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

With ongoing sea-level rise now considered inevitable, and climate change mitigation efforts serving only to limit, rather than avert, the risks, adaptation will be a necessity in…

Brazil labour market improves but doubts will persist

Location:

BRAZIL

Unemployment fell to 7.4% at the end of 2023. Despite a fall in the participation rate, the positive figures also show that over 100 million people are currently employed…

Japan’s wage hikes will expand income gaps

Location:

JAPAN

Elevating stagnant wages is Tokyo’s top priority and anti-deflation tool, necessary in creating a virtuous cycle of rising prices and incomes that boosts economic growth.