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Prospects for the global economy to end-2020

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PROSPECTS 2020 H2

COVID-19 dominates the scenarios for the next six months, which range from a swift sharp recovery to another dramatic fall in activity. Policy responses, financial markets…

Greece has reserves to help economy fight virus impact

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GREECE

This is one of several temporary ECB measures against tightening liquidity in the euro-area due to the coronavirus pandemic which in Greece has cut official GDP forecasts…

Some US COVID responses may become permanent

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UNITED STATES

The bill includes items to manage the public health and economic implications of the COVID-19 pandemic, but the disease has many direct and indirect effects.

Ukraine-Russia war will dent Japan's economy

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JAPAN

There are direct impacts resulting from Japan’s economic exposure to Russia, which is affected by sanctions against Moscow and possible counter-sanctions. Indirect impacts arise…

Lebanese elites’ economic rescue planning may fail

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LEBANON

After six weeks of protests that began when the government tried to cut its fiscal deficit by increasing indirect taxation and reducing public services, Lebanon is now rapidly…

Caribbean will struggle to address limited ISG threat

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CARIBBEAN

Concerns over Islamic State group (ISG) activities in the Caribbean.

Tourism will settle to a new normal after the pandemic

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INTERNATIONAL

Tourism outlook.

United Arab Emirates military will use proxy warfare

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The UAE military is deeply concerned about both direct and indirect threats from Iran and from Sunni political Islam. It has therefore focused on building alliances with global…

COVID-19 will improve real-time epidemic modelling

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INTERNATIONAL

Epidemic mathematical modelling.

Economics may dent Russian police reform

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RUSSIA

Russian police reform.