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Reform UK could impact next election outcome

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

As Reform is polling nationally at 13% and has performed strongly in recent by-elections, the defection is a blow to the Conservatives' chances of retaining voters in former…

Discontent in east Libya will be quashed

Location:

LIBYA

From the influential Awagir tribe, Bargathi was assured by eastern-based forces that it was safe for him to return to his hometown, but clashes erupted after his arrival…

Scandal may change direction of Uganda’s NUP party

Location:

UGANDA

Mpuuga has been accused of corruption, and Wine and the NUP have called for his resignation. However, Mpuuga has rejected these calls, claiming he is the victim of a political…

South Korean politics will be less certain

Location:

SOUTH KOREA

Meanwhile, the leader of the opposition and a ruling party lawmaker have been hospitalised after serious assaults (in the former case, politically motivated). There are also…

Pro-Bumiputera move will have mixed impact in Malaysia

Location:

MALAYSIA

The initiative is aimed at improving the socio-economic position of ethnic Malay and indigenous people, a sizeable majority in Malaysia. The Barisan Nasional (BN) alliance, led by…

ASEAN will pursue incremental engagement in Myanmar

Location:

MYANMAR

Myanmar’s junta for the first time accepted the invitation to have a ‘non-political’ representative at high-level ASEAN meetings, standing since its exclusion from such events…

ISWAP may bounce back from setbacks in Nigeria

Location:

NIGERIA

ISWAP activity has spiked lately following over a year of pressure from security forces and rival jihadist faction, Jama’at Ahl al Sunna Lid’Dawati wal Jihad (JAS), the rump core…

Immigration could change dynamic of Irish election

Location:

IRELAND

The issue of immigration poses a particularly tough electoral dilemma for the opposition Sinn Fein (SF), which has a strong lead over its rivals in the polls. Ireland’s next…

Ban on Germany’s far right is unlikely

Location:

GERMANY

The controversy fuels a debate about a possible ban of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD). While the constitutional hurdles remain high, German officials have begun to…

France’s Macron shifts focus to elections

Location:

FRANCE

Macron hopes Attal can rescue his centrist alliance from a defeat by Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) in the EU elections in June. In the longer term, he has anointed…