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Dillo death may increase government fragility in Chad

Location:

CHAD

The building was heavily damaged and its leader, Yaya Dillo Djerou, was killed. Dillo was a former rebel commander and relative of President Mahamat Idriss Deby Itno, as well as…

Chad may face humanitarian crisis from Sudan conflict

Location:

CHAD

Many are fleeing ethnically targeted violence conducted by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and affiliated militias. The UN estimates that the number of refugees could reach 600,000…

ISWAP may bounce back from setbacks in Nigeria

Location:

NIGERIA

ISWAP activity has spiked lately following over a year of pressure from security forces and rival jihadist faction, Jama’at Ahl al Sunna Lid’Dawati wal Jihad (JAS), the rump core…

Niger's coup risks generating long-term instability

Location:

NIGER

Senior officers from all service branches then appeared on television declaring Bazoum’s ouster and the creation of the National Council for the Safeguard of the Country (CNSP)…

Prospects for coups in Africa in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

However, the lack of effective electoral planning and announced delays have raised questions about their sincerity. Moreover, the recent spate of coups -- nine successful military…

Ruling parties will largely win 2024 African elections

Location:

AFRICA

This was the first in a series of major presidential elections in Africa scheduled for this year, some of which will also face serious legitimacy concerns. Few are expected to…

Prospects for African economies to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

The downgrade reflects the expected realisation this year of the delayed global economic slowdown. The resulting debt overhang in the region has depleted the space for fiscal…

Regional tensions threaten West African food security

Location:

WEST AFRICA

This could worsen to an estimated 49.5 million people by mid-year as the lean season sets in between harvests. Meanwhile, over 100 million people could face food insecurity if…

Western outreach to CAR may face hurdles

Location:

CAR

His arrest reflects growing authoritarianism within Faustin-Archange Touadera’s government. This contrasts with an improving security situation and government efforts to thaw…

Sudan’s war-hit economy will contract and maladapt

Location:

SUDAN

They highlighted the impact on industry and banking, especially in the capital, Khartoum. The three-month war between the army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has…