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Rising state budget gaps could rein in the US rebound

Location:

UNITED STATES

Fiscal constraints limit the ability of US states to practise counter-cyclical fiscal policy, and some states and municipalities had budgetary troubles even before the pandemic…

US zoning laws will continue to hinder homebuilding

Location:

UNITED STATES

US housing costs, especially in cities that are hubs for technology or finance, have been rising sharply over the past decade. Housing affordability is at a 40-year low, with…

Slovenia’s minor parties will hold post-election key

Location:

SLOVENIA

Slovenia is entering elections in a state of heightened tension. The country is politically polarised between liberal-left and conservative camps. The most likely outcome is an…

Ramaphosa risks losing South Africa reform credibility

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

This, combined with allegations that Ramaphosa has covered up the theft of millions of dollars from his farm, have fed rising concerns about the effectiveness of his leadership.

Peru's governance problems are set to increase

Location:

PERU

The resignations followed police raids on Boluarte’s home in the context of a corruption probe known as ‘Rolexgate’, prompting some legislators to demand her impeachment. The new…

China will retain its dominance in rare earths

Location:

CHINA

As tensions build between Beijing and Western governments, Beijing may increasingly be tempted to weaponise its dominance. It could limit supplies in response to sanctions and…

Long commercial property downturn has lasting impacts

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Lower demand for office space, the unprecedentedly sharp increase in rates, and pressure for buildings to upgrade to meet environmental regulations and compete with home working…

Canada's economy will affect political outlook in 2024

Location:

CANADA

The economy has not grown in the past two quarters and, on a per capita basis, has declined for six consecutive quarters. With the Bank of Canada ruling out interest rate cuts…

Market turbulence and rising rates weigh on EU banking

Location:

INT

Doubts over three large European banks have driven down the stock prices of German and French banks even though the sector benefits from a comfortable return on equity, rising…

Guinea-Bissau’s Embalo will seek to centralise power

Location:

GUINEA-BISSAU

The end to the UN peace operation came almost three months after the departure of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Mission in Guinea Bissau (ECOMIB). The…