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Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

Location:

RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

EU tech controls on China will not toe US line

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EU

This has led the EU to adopt tools and risk assessments for controlling China’s access to European ‘critical technologies’. These moves are driven by sectional European…

China will increase investment in emerging markets

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CHINA

Although its investments in Africa have attracted considerable attention, the vast majority of China's OFDI has gone to Asia, principally Hong Kong and a few financial centres…

The United States will balance North African ties

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NORTH AFRICA

US attention to the region has risen amid tenser Algerian-Moroccan ties. Harris underlined that any military escalation would be "quite alarming" and would set back prospects for…

China will continue neutrality on Gaza war

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CHINA

China has not sought to rival US efforts to manage the Israel-Gaza crisis. It has concentrated on deepening economic ties with the Gulf region while Washington faces growing…

Chinese firms will expand presence in South-east Asia

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CHINA/SOUTH-EAST ASIA

South-east Asia maintained its position as the largest recipient (40%) of China’s total Asia-Pacific engagement, which was valued at USD14.8bn, up USD12.4bn from 2022. In recent…

Baku will resist a quick peace deal with Armenia

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ARMENIA

The latest round of talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Geneva on March 22 ended without any concrete progress on negotiations over a bilateral peace agreement. The meeting…

Seoul-Havana relations will hurt Pyongyang

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SOUTH KOREA/CUBA

South Korea’s business ties with Cuba have improved in recent decades, while Havana-Pyongyang relations have long been uneasy. Cuba’s decision came amid North Korea’s increasingly…

Global AI regulations will diverge

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INT

Despite a strong Chinese push on AI innovation, Beijing’s regulatory approach to AI sharply contrasts with the approaches of Western digital economies, notably the United States…

Qatar and Turkey will defend their Hamas ties

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QATAR/TURKEY

Doha has avoided condemning Hamas’s actions, instead blaming Israel for the escalation in Gaza, while Erdogan dubs Hamas a “liberation group”. Unsurprisingly, the United States is…