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Ethiopia’s widening conflict will extend uncertainty

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ETHIOPIA

In response, federal-aligned authorities have started mobilising regional militias and even armed civilians to bolster their regular forces. Both have raised fears of an…

Geopolitical divisions will lower potential GDP growth

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INTERNATIONAL

The war in Ukraine will have widespread and lasting impacts on three fronts: supply and price shocks in strategic commodities; the fallout from Western sanctions on Russia; and…

Morocco will press on with its outreach to the Sahel

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MOROCCO

During that meeting, discussions focused on a Moroccan proposal to grant these landlocked countries access to the Atlantic Ocean. The proposal hints at a transactional…

Prospects for the Western Balkans in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for the Western Balkans in 2023.

Ethiopia’s peace process shows signs of promise

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ETHIOPIA

The announcement came amid unconfirmed reports that the federal government and Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) have agreed to meet for peace talks in Arusha, Tanzania.

Engaging with Afghanistan will get harder for West

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AFGHANISTAN

This was a reference to criticism of Taliban rule by certain international players. While engagement between the emirate and the West remains limited, the Taliban are drawing…

IMF unlikely to resolve Zambia's debt conundrum

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ZAMBIA

While the G20's new Common Framework for Debt Treatments provides a new mechanism for debt restructuring, it also requires Zambia to convince the IMF that it has disclosed all of…

Zambian government will grow increasingly defensive

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ZAMBIA

Embattled president.

Ethiopia’s conflict enters its most volatile phase

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ETHIOPIA

The country is now bracing for an escalating confrontation, despite intensified international efforts to end the conflict.

EU will struggle to gain post-COVID Balkan influence

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BALKANS

The European Commission has prepared for the summit by making public a package of financial support for the Western Balkans as the region struggles to emerge from the COVID-19…