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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 March 2024

Despite criticism from Western allies, Macron’s position has remained firm. This comes against the backdrop of tensions with Germany, upcoming European Parliament elections and…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 May 2023

Inflation has subsided owing to base effects. War, sanctions, geopolitical isolation and economic restructuring have already undermined population living standards, with poorer…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 February 2024

The invasion of Ukraine is causing strains in Russian society to show, with opposition to another mobilisation and rising appetite for peace talks. The economy is overheating in…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 March 2024

After Ukraine’s summer counter-offensive failed to achieve any of its major objectives, Russia has regained the initiative in the ground war. It captured the frontline fortress…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 March 2023

The recession was far shallower than expected; early forecasts had predicted a contraction of up to 10%. However, economic decline will continue into 2023. Unprecedented sanctions…

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