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Elite deals prop up Kenya’s weak political stability

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KENYA

Among other things, the three leaders discussed Odinga’s ambitions to become chairman of the African Union (AU) Commission. Alongside reform proposals made by a National Dialogue…

Congressional support will assist Guatemala’s Arevalo

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GUATEMALA

A Constitutional Court ruling barring members of his Movimiento Semilla (Seed Movement, Semilla) from holding congressional leadership positions will constrain the party’s room…

Iran allies will further divide Iraq’s weakened Sunnis

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IRAQ

The supreme court deposed prominent Sunni leader Mohammed al-Halbousi in November 2023, during a long campaign against him by pro-Iranian Shia forces. His ally Shaalan al-Karim…

Election outlook becomes more uncertain in Venezuela

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VENEZUELA

The ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) is confident it can demonstrate activities justifying her exclusion from public life. It does not see the ruling as violating…

Panama mine contract end will worsen economic woes

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PANAMA

The decision followed weeks of protests over the terms of the newly revised contract. Cobre Panama, located in Colon province, is Central America’s largest open-pit copper mine…

Court ruling entrenches Uganda anti-homosexuality act

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UGANDA

The ruling leaves Uganda at odds with Western donors that have criticised the law and leaves Uganda’s LGBT community facing the prospect of potentially intensifying persecution.

Prospects for US politics in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

President Joe Biden turns 81 today. In a country where half the population is younger than 39, most voters would rather not see an electoral rematch between Biden and Donald…

Nawaz Sharif will hold the edge in Pakistan polls

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PAKISTAN

Nawaz Sharif, leader of the Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) or PML(N) party and a three-time former prime minister, appears to have the backing of the politically powerful…

Venezuela's Guyana referendum will bring new tensions

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VENEZUELA

Official figures suggest that 10 million people participated in a referendum held on December 3 in which over 90% of those who voted (accounting for nearly half of the electorate…

Paraguayan opposition may rally against Colorado moves

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PARAGUAY

The turn towards authoritarianism suggested by the case has raised alarm bells in the diplomatic community. Her expulsion has also provoked the ire of the powerful private sector…