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Iraqi 2021 polls may help Sadrists but hurt austerity

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IRAQ

This follows the finalisation in October of a new electoral law introducing a higher degree of proportional representation (PR), and fraught parliamentary agreement on…

US-Iran fight in Iraq may see new strikes and election

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IRAQ

The United States on December 29 launched airstrikes on five bases maintained by Iran-backed militia Kata’ib Hezbollah, in retaliation for a December 28 rocket attack that killed…

Prospects for Iraq to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for Iraq to end-2019.

Turkey crisis is new blow to Saudi regional ambitions

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GULF STATES

Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states' ties with Turkey have improved considerably since 2014, driven by changing regional geopolitics. Sharp divisions that emerged in the wake of…

AKP will resume policy of strong Turkish presidency

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TURKEY

The victory has reversed the result of the June elections that produced a 'hung' parliament. AKP has relegated other parties to the sidelines and Erdogan may now press ahead with…

Iraqi parties may compromise on a cabinet soon

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IRAQ

The outline of a new coalition is coming together, driven by a series of alliances made by the top vote-winner, Moqtada al-Sadr. Despite a controversial history, in recent years…

Iran will attempt to maintain its leverage in Iraq

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IRAQ/IRAN

The withdrawal plunged Iraqi politics into its deepest crisis since the war against Islamic State (IS) started in 2013. Moqtada al-Sadr’s failure to establish a majority…

Turkish suspicion may derail Syrian Kurds’ unity deal

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SYRIA

The PYD controls the US-backed Kurdish-led administration in north-east Syria. It was the target of an October 2019 invasion by Turkey, which equates it with its own rebel…

Canada reform rollout faces few obstacles

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CANADA

Conservatives have also pledged to support reforming the Senate as a non-partisan body and allow Trudeau to use his sizeable House of Commons majority to set policy without Senate…

Iraq’s new electoral law will disappoint protesters

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IRAQ

Earlier rounds of the protests, which began in October 2019, forced the resignation of Prime Minister Adel Abdel-Mahdi and the passage of a new electoral law on December 24…