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Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

Location:

GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…

Opposition will force strategy shifts in Venezuela

Location:

VENEZUELA

The opposition Unitary Platform has aligned behind relative unknown and former diplomat Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia. President Nicolas Maduro’s government overshadowed the unveiling…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Abu Dhabi’s Africa outreach will accelerate

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

State-owned company Abu Dhabi Ports (ADP) is also prominent in the continent’s maritime sector, with agreements to operate ports in Angola and Congo-Brazzaville. The UAE’s…

Chinese firms will expand presence in South-east Asia

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CHINA/SOUTH-EAST ASIA

South-east Asia maintained its position as the largest recipient (40%) of China’s total Asia-Pacific engagement, which was valued at USD14.8bn, up USD12.4bn from 2022. In recent…

Appetite for African minerals may boost infrastructure

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AFRICA

Mineral exports from the Central African Copperbelt in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Zambia are rising and existing export routes via South Africa do not have the…

Somalia-Turkey pact adds to growing regional tensions

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SOMALIA/TURKEY

This comes shortly after Ethiopia and Somaliland in January signed a deal offering Ethiopia a naval base in Somaliland in exchange for Ethiopia’s recognition of Somaliland as a…

IPEF failure will hurt US firms on digital trade

Location:

UNITED STATES

Although it does not have the force of law, the IPEF Supply Chain Agreement, along with the associated IPEF Critical Minerals Dialogue, is expected to strengthen chains of…

West African junta integration goals face hurdles

Location:

WEST AFRICA

The committee, led by diplomat Adani Illo, forms part of a broader push with AES member states -- Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger -- to move forward on military, political and…

Plans for North African unity could be short-lived

Location:

NORTH AFRICA

On April 22, Tunisian President Kais Saied hosted his Algerian counterpart, Abdelmadjid Tebboune, and the head of Libya’s Presidential Council, Mohammed al-Menfi, for a trilateral…