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Baltic fiscal prudence will return even with low debt

Location:

BALTIC STATES

Monthly output in Estonia started contracting from June. GDP (adjusted) stagnated in the first quarter of 2022, and contracted quarter-on-quarter in the following two quarters…

2023 will test East European V4 economies’ resilience

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Economic hardship may be increasing support for populism and far-right politics, especially in the more vulnerable Slovakia and Hungary. Proximity to the war, including spending…

Canadian election could produce fragile government

Location:

CANADA

The three main parties -- the leftist New Democratic Party (NDP), the centrist Liberals, and the right-wing Conservatives -- are nearly tied in national voter intention polls…

Malaysia’s Anwar will step up diplomatic outreach

Location:

MALAYSIA

During his trip, he also held a bilateral meeting with Chinese Premier Li Qiang. Anwar has sought to reinvigorate Malaysia’s foreign policy since assuming office in November 2022…

Pre-election spending may prop up Polish economy

Location:

POLAND

The statistical office’s provisional estimate surpassed expectations and confirmed that Poland’s diversified economy, backed by government measures, had weathered the supply…

Influencing Iraq and Syria will have costs for Turkey

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey's attempts to expand its military role in both Iraq and Syria are entangled with major shifts in its relations with the United States and Russia, and in its overall…

East European growth in 2023 will be modest at best

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Some countries are dipping into recession, while others are likely to manage modest growth. Their various policy and real-economy responses point to different strengths and…

Venezuela’s crisis will jeopardise Caribbean stability

Location:

CARIBBEAN

Caribbean dependence on Venezuela.

Risks to the recovering Ukrainian economy will rise

Location:

UKRAINE

The economy has recovered somewhat from the one-third contraction in 2022 caused by Russia's invasion. Government spending, mainly on defence, dominates but agriculture has…

Eastern EU may target those vulnerable to inflation

Location:

EU

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…