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Russian leaders will clear obstacles to election win

Location:

RUSSIA

Managing the parliamentary elections to ensure a win for the ruling party.

Russia's leaders fear public wrath more than Omicron

Location:

RUSSIA

A parallel bill requiring people to show electronic QR codes for train and air travel has been withdrawn. Both bills were halted by public opposition and President Vladimir…

Religion may aggravate Ethiopia’s domestic divisions

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ETHIOPIA

The controversy over this issue has roots in broader intra-religious, inter-religious and inter-ethnic faultlines that have worsened amid the political crisis of recent years and…

Georgian cabinet becomes vehicle for ruling party head

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GEORGIA

Bakhtadze and his cabinet were approved by parliament on July 14, promising smaller, better government. He enjoys the favour of Bidzina Ivanishvili, patron of the ruling Georgian…

Hijab bill will pass but defiance will continue

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IRAN

The state is attempting to pass a new bill proposing severe punishments for refusal of mandatory hijab-wearing, as the anniversary of the outbreak of the Mahsa Amini hijab…

Russia's independent media will be quietly squeezed

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RUSSIA

Control of national television stations allows the Russian authorities to dominate the media space and manage public news consumption. They can therefore afford to devote fewer…

Russian leader sustains public backing for Ukraine war

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RUSSIA

Street protests and rumoured elite unhappiness after the February 24 invasion proved not to be a sign of things to come. Most of the public appeared to adjust to the radically new…

Lasso move risks worsening tensions in Ecuador

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ECUADOR

A spate of deadly prison uprisings has accompanied a more general rise in crime, especially in the coastal region, which has seen homicides soar. Lasso's emergency measure, which…

Prospects for the euro-area in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

This forecast implies the continuation of this year's rapid recovery into 2022. However, it depends on some risks abating, particularly with regard to inflation, and hence…

Nigerian Islamic movement faces more marginalisation

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NIGERIA

Persistent physical crackdowns against the country’s largest Shia group, and Abuja's refusal thus far to hear Zakzaky’s testimony at a forthcoming presidential panel investigating…