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Protests show Macron is running out of election ideas

Location:

FRANCE

Macron’s inability to appease the protesters or satisfy environmentalists poses electoral damage to his centrist En Marche party.

Election year may prove worst yet in Venezuela

Location:

VENEZUELA

The government is facing increasingly bitter schisms within the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) as it goes into a presidential election year. The holiday period…

Algeria's energy wealth will help weaken the Hirak

Location:

ALGERIA

The COVID-19 pandemic and energy revenues in 2021-22 allowed Algerian authorities effectively to weaken the Hirak movement -- the large-scale popular protests that demanded the…

Syria's ruler will seek to ride out economic protests

Location:

SYRIA

The demonstrations were triggered by Assad’s mid-August announcement of big fuel price increases, only partly mitigated by rises in salaries and pensions. However, they have been…

Iraq can ride out near-term political instability

Location:

IRAQ

These attacks, which demonstrate the government's inability to secure inner Baghdad, come on the heels of the April 30 overrunning of parliament by protesters gathered by Shia…

President will keep Chadian opposition in check

Location:

CHAD

Chad's political and economic outlook.

Prospects for Iran in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

The government will seek to boost turnout without opening up any more political or social space, and conservatives will maintain their thorough monopoly of power. However…

Iraqi Kurdistan may lose its 'safe haven' reputation

Location:

IRAQ

Baghdad and Erbil are currently negotiating a new budget agreement covering oil revenue and fiscal transfers, which could provide immediate relief. However, internal divisions are…

Iraq’s new premier will take drastic economic steps

Location:

IRAQ

This follows a long vacuum after popular protests forced the resignation of Adel Abdel-Mahdi in November, and two earlier nominees failed to be confirmed. Kadhimi’s appointment…

Iraqi 2021 polls may help Sadrists but hurt austerity

Location:

IRAQ

This follows the finalisation in October of a new electoral law introducing a higher degree of proportional representation (PR), and fraught parliamentary agreement on…