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Iran protests not yet pointing to government collapse

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IRAN

The crackdown is part of attempts to suppress the five-week-old nationwide protests following the death of a student, Mahsa Amini. These anti-government protests have outlasted…

Iran will likely attack exiled Kurdish groups in Iraq

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IRAN

Exiled Kurdish parties are demanding greater autonomy for Kurds in Iran. However, Tehran accuses them of wanting separatism and blames them for fomenting the Mahsa Amini protests…

Tehran will weigh options to contain plane protests

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IRAN

The authorities’ belated admission of the error, on January 11, sparked new waves of student-led protests across several cities, with outspoken slogans targeting the supreme…

Iran protests may ease pressure on IRGC Intelligence

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IRAN

The Intelligence Organisation has become increasingly controversial in recent months, with indications that Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is not happy with its performance. Both…

Iraq’s new electoral law will disappoint protesters

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IRAQ

Earlier rounds of the protests, which began in October 2019, forced the resignation of Prime Minister Adel Abdel-Mahdi and the passage of a new electoral law on December 24…

Iraq faces a weak new government and rising insecurity

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IRAQ

The November 29 resignation of Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi has left a political vacuum. Demonstrations moved into a new phase in December, with militias supporting populist…

Nigeria’s Islamic movement ban raises violence risks

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NIGERIA

Both have been held in detention by the authorities since 2015, in defiance of a court order for their release. The ruling followed a little over a week after President Muhammadu…

Iran will expand its monitored national internet

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IRAN

Under development for over a decade, the NIN had its first major trial when Tehran imposed an internet blackout in response to mass protests last November, with mixed success.

Nigerian Islamic movement faces more marginalisation

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NIGERIA

Persistent physical crackdowns against the country’s largest Shia group, and Abuja's refusal thus far to hear Zakzaky’s testimony at a forthcoming presidential panel investigating…

A pattern of arrests in Iran will intensify

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IRAN

Since the major anti-government protests in January 2018, Tehran has engaged in a gradual but growing campaign of repression against civil society and economic actors, arresting…