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Beijing and Washington have room for compromises

Location:

CHINA-UNITED STATES

Partial compromises in some areas could de-escalate the current China-US confrontation in the short term

Washington will sustain military focus on Africa

Location:

AFRICA

Despite signalling a pending shift, the Pentagon’s plans in Africa reflect continuity more than change

Chinese-made electric cars will attract Western wrath

Location:

INT

Chinese-manufactured BEVs are cheaper than Western models, accounting for nearly 10% of EU sales and 50% of imports

US auto autarky ambition could cut world trade and GDP

Location:

INT

The EU taxes US cars at 10%, firing an auto surplus; the US taxes EU cars at 2.5%, firing a deficit and troubling Trump

States benefit from US defence spending

Location:

UNITED STATES

The US Senate takes up the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) this week and is expected to approve it

Trump’s Iran choice will play into Middle East crises

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

In a framework of heightened confrontation with Iran, national-level controversies across the region could be magnified

US military can slow but not stem Somali jihadist tide

Location:

SOMALIA

US counterinsurgency operations in Somalia are intensifying, but so is jihadist activity

Israel’s Gaza war aims will founder on contradictions

Location:

ISRAEL

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is playing a short-term tactical game, at home and abroad

Philippines politics will be turbulent in 2016

Location:

PHILIPPINES

The Philippines needs a strong new president from May 2016, but the presidential race is already fractious

East Asian turning points could see dangerous outcomes

Location:

EAST ASIA

The coming four years could see East Asia become a much more dangerous place