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Rising Argentina poverty brings long-term challenges

Location:

ARGENTINA

Urban poverty rose from 40.1% in the first half of 2023 to 41.7% in the second, with indigence up from 9.3% to 11.9%

Taiwanese society will resist unification with China

Location:

TAIWAN

Polls indicate that fewer Taiwanese residents see joining China as a desirable long-term option

Long-term refugee problems may mould the Middle East

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Refugees and IDPs who do not return home within six months have a high probability of protracted displacement

Nutrition issues carry long-term cost in Latin America

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Obesity and malnutrition are rising in the region, as slowing growth sees a rise in poverty

Long-term shifts to weaken traditional EU left

Location:

EU

Traditional left-wing parties are struggling for electoral success, despite the economic crisis

Cheap oil risks long-term Middle East stability

Location:

MENA

The oil price slump is straining finances across most of the region, raising the potential for instability down the line

Saudi instability risk will rise if reforms fail

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

The kingdom's eroding public finances raise questions over its long-term resilience

Pro-Iran militias will sap long-term Iraqi stability

Location:

IRAQ

As tensions spike between Washington and Tehran, Baghdad faces a showdown with heavily armed Shia factions

Ambitious plans set China's course to 2049

Location:

CHINA

Long-term goals shape thinking of current policymakers in and outside China despite vulnerability to 'black swans'

Demographics further darken Italy’s economic prospects

Location:

ITALY

An ageing population and weak demand for legal migration pose risks to Italy’s long-term economic outlook