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Cocktail of crises to scar the global economic outlook

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

A global recession now looks as likely as not after the IMF warned that the “worst is yet to come” for the world economy

Cheap oil risks long-term Middle East stability

Location:

MENA

The oil price slump is straining finances across most of the region, raising the potential for instability down the line

Saudi instability risk will rise if reforms fail

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SAUDI ARABIA

The kingdom's eroding public finances raise questions over its long-term resilience

Cheap oil will weigh long-term on top exporters

Location:

INT

OPEC members have so far failed to agree output cuts to boost prices

Global deflation risk will fade due to monetary action

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Despite some hotspots, deflation risks prevail over high inflation trends

Venezuelan isolation raises a range of grave risks

Location:

VENEZUELA

The country has rowed back from a more activist global role since the death of President Hugo Chavez

Oil reliance will fall in Middle East and North Africa

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MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

Dependence on oil and gas revenues has fallen in the Middle Eastern and North African hydrocarbon-rich states since 2010

Arab states will struggle to reduce youth unemployment

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MIDDLE EAST

State dominance and high birth rates undermine regional states' ability to create enough jobs for the young

East Africa struggles to capitalise on cheap oil

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AF

Expectations of benefits from a lower oil price are being tested

Egyptian economy will take years to improve

Location:

EGYPT

Cairo's priority is to address energy and dollar shortages