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India will find its diplomatic outreach constrained

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INDIA

In his opening remarks, Prime Minister Narendra Modi made certain comments about cross-border terrorism and territorial integrity that were widely perceived as barbs directed at…

Mideast countries will still value BRICS membership

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MIDDLE EAST

This is the first time since 2010 that new members have been invited to join the group, signalling growing confidence among ‘middle powers’ and their intent to establish…

Asian summits highlight contrasting trajectories

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ASIA

Indonesia hosted the 43rd ASEAN summit and related events, including the 18th East Asia Summit (EAS). India held its first-ever G20 summit. ASEAN’s chairmanship now passes to…

Abu Dhabi will leverage post-UNSC soft power

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

It struggled with this goal during two turbulent years that saw permanent UNSC members divided over significant conflicts. Nonetheless, the UAE was an engaged Security Council…

Consumption will remain China's key growth driver

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CHINA

Officials announced science and technology innovation as the top priority for 2024. The overall tone was supportive of economic growth, with announcements including backing for…

Algeria will pursue stronger ties in the Sahel

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ALGERIA

In February, President Abdelmadjid Tebboune announced that Algeria is planning free trade zones with Niger and Mali, despite increasingly volatile ties with the latter. That same…

ASEAN leadership will stretch Laos in 2024

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LAOS

The theme it has chosen for its chairmanship is ‘enhancing connectivity and resilience’. The reference to ‘resilience’ is apt, as Laos is attempting to manage severe economic…

Intra-Gulf tensions may rise again

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GULF STATES

This closely follows a summit between the Central Asian republics and the GCC in July and a GCC-US foreign ministerial meeting in June. Intra-Gulf ties have improved somewhat…

The EU’s phase-out of Russian gas is not guaranteed

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EU

This is the trajectory followed by the majority of member states. However, blockages remain in east-central Europe, where Turkey could play a role in maintaining direct or…

Iraqi Kurdistan is set to lose much of its autonomy

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IRAQ

Between deepening internal divisions, increased foreign pressure and a stark economic crisis, the semi-autonomy of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) is facing its most severe…