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World growth over 3% in 2020 rests on emerging markets

Location:

INT

Around 60% of 2019 global GDP is set to come from emerging markets, and as much as 66% by 2024, but many are fragile

Global deflation risk will fade due to monetary action

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Despite some hotspots, deflation risks prevail over high inflation trends

Global monetary policy divergence will be key in 2016

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The Fed has just hiked rates for the first time in nine years, while both the ECB and the BoJ have eased policy further

ECB may extend QE to support recovery

Location:

EUROPE

Weaker-than-expected global growth may dampen euro-area recovery, requiring further monetary stimulus

The emerging markets recovery will be fragile

Location:

INT

Economic disruption has lasted longer for EMDCs than for advanced economies and China; this will hinder their prospects

US Fed remains on track to hike rates in December

Location:

UNITED STATES

Rates stayed on hold in September, but strong fundamentals and reduced uncertainty should support a rise by year end

Trade performance will be key to the recovery of GDP

Location:

INT

GDP contracted across the world in the second quarter and the shape and size of recession varied widely by region

Differentiated approach aids emerging market assets

Location:

INT

US GDP upgrades are fuelling price fears and a bond market sell-off, but investors are differentiating more between EMs

Geopolitics, supply stress and rate rises will hit GDP

Location:

INT

The outlook is softening as Ukraine war impacts will aggravate supply chain disruptions and tighter financial conditions

Swiss growth may accelerate, but franc is key risk

Location:

SWITZERLAND

Growth is subdued, as the impact of the strong currency offsets any stimulus provided by negative interest rates