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Swedish minority government will hold together for now

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SWEDEN

Curbing immigration is a central element in the agreement between the minority government and the far-right Sweden Democrats (SD) to secure their support in parliament. One year…

Bet on Canada's spending poses risks for Trudeau

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CANADA

It includes large federal stimulus spending to spur economic growth and to alleviate the worst impacts of the collapse in global commodity prices, particularly oil. The budget…

Georgian election leaves legacy of division

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GEORGIA

Georgia's opposition refuses to accept the October 31 election result. While the government will use the visit as evidence of solid US support, its critics will scrutinise…

Soft landing has become more likely in Central Europe

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EU

The NBP’s March Inflation Report lowers its forecast for average CPI significantly to 1.7%, from 3.2% in its November forecast; GDP is to grow by 4.0% (November: 3.6%). Outside…

Croatian elections will end spell of weak government

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CROATIA

The party succeeded in increasing its representation, provisionally winning 66 out of the 151 seats in parliament, despite its two terms in government. The result constitutes a…

Angolan government will point to early reform progress

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ANGOLA

The underperformance of the oil sector, coupled with a recent fuel distribution crisis, have combined to dampen growth forecasts for 2019. While President Joao Lourenco’s…

Risk of Greek euro exit has risen but is still small

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GREECE

The prospects for Greek departure from the euro-area.

Prospects for African economies to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for African Economies.

Immigration policy could topple Swedish government

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SWEDEN

This is a lower forecast than the 170,000 the agency predicted in October, before Sweden reimposed controls at its border with Denmark. The immigration issue is causing strains…

Opposition splits may favour Argentina budget bill

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ARGENTINA

Economy Minister Nicolas Dujovne presented a bleak draft 2019 budget to Congress on September 17, overshadowed by the announcement that a federal judge had charged former…