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UK economic prospects against the backdrop of the Brexit negotiations
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB220100
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
The euro-area is highly exposed to the fallout from the Ukraine war, and higher commodity prices for a longer period will squeeze the disposable incomes of households and firms…
Tourism and other customer-facing sectors are growing solidly even though above-target inflation is squeezing disposable incomes. However, strong services activity is keeping core…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279792
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
The second phase of the government's reform agenda.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB214375
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
The NBP’s March Inflation Report lowers its forecast for average CPI significantly to 1.7%, from 3.2% in its November forecast; GDP is to grow by 4.0% (November: 3.6%). Outside…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB242443
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
The IMF forecast assumes UK interest rates peak at 6.0% (from 5.25% currently), and linger at 4.0-4.25% through to 2028. The IMF’s forecasts are similar to those of the Bank of…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282782
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
After the 2021-22 post-pandemic rebound, growth is stabilising at around 2%. Barring new external shocks, it is expected to remain at this level in the coming years. Improved…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284334
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
The official baseline is for an 8.2% GDP contraction in 2020, and a 7.5% rebound in 2021. It took into account moderate restrictions on movement in winter 2020/21, but the…
The government's latest GDP expectations for 2016-19.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB214023
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
Prospects for the United Kingdom in 2018.