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The state of macroeconomics.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB229707
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
Scenario analysis is growing in importance.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB240397
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
UK economic prospects against the backdrop of the Brexit negotiations
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB220100
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
However, it now anticipates that the contraction will be 1.0%, down from a previous forecast of 1.5%. This is in line with recent Chilean Central Bank forecasts of a…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278370
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
Inflation has subsided owing to base effects. War, sanctions, geopolitical isolation and economic restructuring have already undermined population living standards, with poorer…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279113
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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Core personal consumption expenditure inflation is 4.7% year-on-year, above the 2.0% target. The economy is holding up, with the OECD now forecasting GDP growth of 1.5%, up from…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB276878
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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Predicting recessions.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB241723
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
Global economic activity is deteriorating widely. This is despite the fact that the US-China trade conflict is not escalating, China is loosening fiscal policy and the United…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB243153
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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Trade activity has been sharply downgraded: five years ago, the Fund expected 5.6% trade volumes growth this year. Now it sees 1.1%, one-third of the pace it forecast in April…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB247132
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
The forecasts reflect the impact of currently low investment on the economy's future growth capacity. Ahead of the government's presentation of its 2017 budget to Congress at…