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Puntland crisis underscores Somali election dilemmas

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SOMALIA

Deni and the Puntland electoral commission seek to hold direct elections, while the opposition demand a return to a clan-based electoral system. Meanwhile, with the election…

Elite deals prop up Kenya’s weak political stability

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KENYA

Among other things, the three leaders discussed Odinga’s ambitions to become chairman of the African Union (AU) Commission. Alongside reform proposals made by a National Dialogue…

Reconciliation slips out of Somali leaders’ grasp

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SOMALIA

The six-day summit, which concluded on May 11, was the first high-level meeting between FGS and FMS leaders in almost a year but ended without agreement -- prolonging a…

Kenya's presidential election is too close to call

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KENYA

With some polls still putting Ruto ahead, the contest remains too close to call.

Tanzania’s opposition faces collaboration challenges

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TANZANIA

This is the closest form of cooperation they can achieve without flouting procedural regulations but it still may not be enough to offset the challenges they face in the upcoming…

Kenya's ruling party and opposition could fragment

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KENYA

All sides showed surprising restraint around the ceremony, which passed off peacefully. However, the apparent decision of key opposition leaders not to attend suggests the real…

Peace in Ethiopia’s Tigray region remains fragile

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ETHIOPIA

The meeting comes amid escalating rhetoric over the failure to implement key aspects of the agreement, and warnings of the risk of famine and even the potential for renewed…

Dillo death may increase government fragility in Chad

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CHAD

The building was heavily damaged and its leader, Yaya Dillo Djerou, was killed. Dillo was a former rebel commander and relative of President Mahamat Idriss Deby Itno, as well as…

Popular ire may upset ZANU-PF's Zimbabwe election plan

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ZIMBABWE

The ruling ZANU-PF party appears to be trying to control the campaign and outcome to a much greater extent than in 2018. However, this effort is being complicated by record levels…

Mozambique’s president faces uncertain future

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MOZAMBIQUE

The ruling Frelimo party has managed to orchestrate a constitutional reform process despite opposition disquiet, but the responsible commission has explicitly excluded changing…