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Prospects for Brazil in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Former centre-left President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva starts the race as the favourite, while a crowded centre-right field will spend months trying, and likely failing, to unify…

Moreno eyes private sector to overcome Ecuador crisis

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ECUADOR

Lockdown measures have helped stem contagion but have had a devasting impact on the economy. Market liberalisation and debt renegotiation efforts place most of the burden of…

Prospects for Brazil to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for Brazil to end-2021.

Czech anti-crisis measures will swell public debt

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CZECH REPUBLIC

Popular discontent is growing, because of rising prices, especially for energy, food and housing. Despite the government’s more transparent, pro-European and values-driven…

Conspiracy theories will stoke Argentine instability

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ARGENTINA

The bill, adopted as CFK begins her defence against corruption charges today, is unlikely to pass the Lower House. The long-delayed measure (which originally aimed to expand the…

Ghana's Akufo-Addo holds poll advantage over old foe

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GHANA

This is the third time Akufo-Addo and Mahama have faced each other: Akufo-Addo lost to Mahama in 2012 but won in 2016. The appearance of two well-known candidates may contribute…

Presidential run-off will be unpredictable in Peru

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PERU

This has been exacerbated by corruption scandals and, more recently, the negative socioeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. There will now be a second round of voting in…

Crises could dash Niger government’s election hopes

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NIGER

Official campaigning may take place only 21 days before the elections. His tour comes against the backdrop of military procurement corruption revelations, a deteriorating regional…