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"Inclusion through consumption" may buoy Brazil's Lula

Location:

BRAZIL

Poorer households' consumption rose markedly under the centre-left governments of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silvia (2003-10). Some argue this depoliticised the poor; the new…

Helping farmers only partly eases India’s rural crisis

Location:

INDIA

A key factor in the sharp fall is decreasing consumption, especially in rural areas. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has sought to raise farmer…

Low euro-area growth supports case for ECB action

Location:

EURO-AREA

This is the same pace as in the third quarter, marking the eleventh consecutive quarter of expansion. For January-December, growth accelerated to 1.5% from 0.9% in 2014, in line…

Economic success will elude Macri in Argentina

Location:

ARGENTINA

The 2018 currency crisis left the economy in one of the deepest downturns of the last decade, repeating the cyclical pattern in place since 2011 of one year of growth followed by…

Argentine economy will underperform again in 2015

Location:

ARGENTINA

In 2014, real GDP expanded by 0.5%, according to the National Statistics Institute (INDEC). Public consumption was the counter-cyclical driver while the other components of…

Argentine candidates face tough pre-election economy

Location:

ARGENTINA

Although Scioli, who stood unopposed, was the most-voted presidential candidate, the distance between the FPV and the Cambiemos alliance, which received 30.6% of the vote, was…

Water management will raise wider concerns in Uruguay

Location:

URUGUAY

The water crisis raises questions about prevailing attitudes to water as a resource at a time of increasing climate variability, and highlights tensions between human and…

Prospects for Eastern EU to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Governments will rely on EU funding to re-energise their countries' economies, compensating for slowing external demand and depressed consumption. The war in Ukraine will…

Pre-election spending may prop up Polish economy

Location:

POLAND

The statistical office’s provisional estimate surpassed expectations and confirmed that Poland’s diversified economy, backed by government measures, had weathered the supply…

Eastern Europe's rate policies diverge with Czech cut

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…