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Syria’s complex conflicts show states have the edge

Location:

SYRIA

A resurgent Damascus and increasingly committed foreign interventions are squeezing out non-state actors

Shadow governance to deepen weak African state control

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AFRICA

The preponderance of weak states in sub-Saharan Africa provides ample scope for non-state actors to seize territory

Allegiances collide in Azerbaijan-Armenia conflict

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CAUCASUS

The warring sides have confusing, sometimes surprising sets of allies and trade partners

Ambitious plans set China's course to 2049

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CHINA

Long-term goals shape thinking of current policymakers in and outside China despite vulnerability to 'black swans'

Powers will fight proxy wars in impoverished Syria

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SYRIA

With the Gaza conflict raging, Syrians face military pressure from all sides, as economic constraints also tighten

Israel-Hamas war risks serious global impact

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ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS

The war has created domestic security, military and economic risks for state supporters of both Israel and Palestine

'Shadow governance' risks in Asia are localised

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ASIA

Unlike in the Middle East, 'ungoverned spaces' in Asia are fewer and geographically concentrated

Multiple competing interests will preclude Yemen peace

Location:

YEMEN

Despite a revitalised ceasefire in the south, myriad rivalries and expectations stand in the way of a wider resolution

CAR’s new crisis may produce a destructive stalemate

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CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC

A new rebellion has inflamed an already fragile security and humanitarian picture