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The UK’s trade bill will rise sharply outside the EU

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The likelihood of hard Brexit has risen and if WTO rules are adopted, the cost of UK goods and services trade will rise

Non-US, non-tariff protectionism is rising rapidly

Location:

INT

Fears abound about US-China tariffs, but rising non-US, non-tariff trade nationalism posesa larger threat to world GDP

COVID-19 will complicate African food security picture

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AFRICA

The pandemic’s secondary effects on socio-economic conditions in Africa may be as dangerous as the health effects

ASEAN-Australia ties to deepen on various fronts

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ASEAN/AUSTRALIA

ASEAN and Australia are eyeing deeper trade, investment, security and diplomatic links

Pride and politics will push Turkey to recession

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TURKEY

A sudden deterioration in US-Turkish relations has plunged Turkey into a debt and liquidity crisis

Russia may carve out shallow niche in Africa

Location:

RUSSIA-AFRICA

Russia announced its return to Africa with a major summit in Sochi on October 23-24

Clashing priorities point to compromise on North Korea

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NORTH KOREA

The planned US-North Korea summit spotlights a range of possible futures for the Korean peninsula

Risks and opportunities 2021: CEE/Turkey

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CEE/TURKEY

Turkey will be unpredictable abroad and unstable at home; democratic deficiencies will persist in Poland and Hungary

US stance may exacerbate human trafficking in Americas

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LATIN AMERICA

Scattered state efforts to tackle human trafficking will have limited effect amid widespread corruption and insecurity

China cannot yet challenge US power

Location:

CHINA

China is gaining on the United States on many fronts, but the gap is substantial, sometimes vast