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US and Chinese interests diverge over North Korea

Location:

NORTH KOREA

Denuclearisation is unrealistic; Beijing and Washington will pursue outcomes less desirable -- but not equally so

Australia defence boost may put China ties on the line

Location:

AUSTRALIA

Long-standing trade ties in the Asia-Pacific are increasingly at risk from diplomatic tensions

Clashing priorities point to compromise on North Korea

Location:

NORTH KOREA

The planned US-North Korea summit spotlights a range of possible futures for the Korean peninsula

Geography will drive China's navy into South China Sea

Location:

CHINA

China is building a fleet of nuclear ballistic missile submarines, to be based at Hainan Island in the South China Sea

Taiwan presidential poll will be tighter than expected

Location:

TAIWAN

Polls indicate a dip in presidential frontrunner William Lai Ching-te’s popularity ahead of January's elections

Risks and opportunities 2020: East Asia

Location:

EAST ASIA

East Asia enters the 2020s with new risks emerging and longstanding ones freshly revived

Trump’s Iran choice will play into Middle East crises

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

In a framework of heightened confrontation with Iran, national-level controversies across the region could be magnified

North Korea's economy will withstand sanctions

Location:

NORTH KOREA

North Korea's economic performance casts doubt on the ability of sanctions to put meaningful pressure on Pyongyang

Iran will use flexible anti-US Middle East strategies

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

To avenge the killing of Qassem Soleimani, Tehran promised to remove Washington’s influence from the region

Russia may carve out shallow niche in Africa

Location:

RUSSIA-AFRICA

Russia announced its return to Africa with a major summit in Sochi on October 23-24