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COVID-19 crisis will hurt Africa’s informal sector

Location:

AFRICA

Domestic policies and international aid designed to counter the economic impacts will have only limited reach into informal economies, despite their key role in continental…

Prospects for Nigeria to end-2020

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2020

This has increased pressure on President Muhammadu Buhari’s government to fast-track reforms amid worsening unemployment and inequality. Meanwhile, ongoing security crises…

Place-based economic policies see political resistance

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Place-based policies.

Turkey will reduce inflation gradually

Location:

TURKEY

Although the central bank has increased interest rates substantially since June 2023, the effects on economic activity and inflation have been limited. Prices and policy…

UK economy will recover quickly amid vaccine roll-out

Location:

UK

The fall highlights the economic impact of the second lockdown; the third, from mid-December, will cause GDP to fall in the first quarter of 2021. The accommodation and food…

Lebanon’s new labour unionism could affect May polls

Location:

LEBANON

The GCLW is the traditional umbrella organisation for Lebanese trade unions, but has long been seen as too close to the political authorities. It has been increasingly outflanked…

Oman and Bahrain are the most vulnerable Gulf states

Location:

BAHRAIN/OMAN

Oman and Bahrain, already struggling with rising public debt levels and high fiscal deficits, are in the most exposed medium-term position.

Brexit risks derailing record UK job market momentum

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Brexit and the UK economy.

Prospects for the global economy to end-2021

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2021

However, supply is struggling to keep pace with demand, and dislocation effects plus shortages of some critical goods and workers are raising prices. GDP growth forecasts for 2021…