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Iraqi Kurdistan may lose its 'safe haven' reputation

Location:

IRAQ

Baghdad and Erbil are currently negotiating a new budget agreement covering oil revenue and fiscal transfers, which could provide immediate relief. However, internal divisions are…

Government-Syriza rifts may bar Greek crisis consensus

Location:

GREECE

Koufodinas, a left-wing terrorist convicted of eleven assassinations of businessmen, conservative politicians, and UK and US officers, believed he was entitled to transfer to…

Politically divided Iraq faces a massive economic hit

Location:

IRAQ

The economic and social impact of COVID-19 -- and especially the crushing effect on global oil markets -- comes amid worsening US-Iran tensions. Internally, political deadlock and…

Latin America risks another lost decade

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

The health crisis, national lockdowns and a global recession have combined to create a difficult environment in Latin America, while governments’ responses to the pandemic have…

Pandemic to worsen recession and instability in Haiti

Location:

HAITI

World Bank and IMF financial support totalling USD142mn, in the form of grants and zero-interest loans, will help partially to cover increasing external and fiscal financing gaps…

New Colombian fiscal reform will pass but is flawed

Location:

COLOMBIA

The plan avoids new taxes on individuals, instead increasing the fiscal burden on firms. The proposed measures aim to generate COP15.2tn (USD3.9bn) in new revenue, which would be…

Thai premier will ride out pandemic-related criticism

Location:

THAILAND

The move is ostensibly designed to strengthen Prayut’s ability to manage the country’s third wave of COVID-19 infections, but the government’s opponents fear that it will give the…

Sierra Leone’s anti-graft campaign faces obstacles

Location:

SIERRE LEONE

The recently released Auditor General’s 2019 report was unable to account for almost seven times more than the amount the ACC has recovered since July 2018. Meanwhile, a deadline…

Bukele popularity may prove precarious in El Salvador

Location:

EL SALVADOR

The easing of rules should help revive business activity, but looser restrictions on public gatherings have fostered protests nationwide. These relate to specific frustrations…

Thai premier’s political strategy will be flexible

Location:

THAILAND

The government parliamentary bloc is led by the Phalang Pracharat Party, formed to support Prayut’s transition from junta leader to civilian premier. While dampening speculation…