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A China crisis is bigger systemic threat than markets

Location:

INT

China’s influence on the global real economy is a bigger risk than events in fragile Italy, Turkey and Argentina

Global tensions will spur value chains rethink

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INT

Firms are rethinking their strategies on global value chains, which may change markedly in years to come

Taiwan will be at pains to retain diplomatic allies

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TAIWAN

Taipei has lost diplomatic ally Nauru to Beijing and relations with Tuvalu were uncertain following recent elections

US auto autarky ambition could cut world trade and GDP

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INT

The EU taxes US cars at 10%, firing an auto surplus; the US taxes EU cars at 2.5%, firing a deficit and troubling Trump

ASEAN infrastructure imbalances will spur competition

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ASEAN

Uneven trade-related infrastructure across ASEAN implies investment possibilities and geopolitical competition

Risks and opportunities 2021: Global economy

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INTERNATIONAL

Economic and health policies are key to the West and many developing nations emerging swiftly from double-dip recession

Pride and politics will push Turkey to recession

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TURKEY

A sudden deterioration in US-Turkish relations has plunged Turkey into a debt and liquidity crisis

COVID-19 spread halts developing nations' GDP catch-up

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INTERNATIONAL

Amid fears of another COVID-19 wave in high-income nations, developing nations are struggling to control the first wave

South-east Asian tax variances imply mixed outlook

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

As South-east Asia integrates, governments must factor tax regimes and competitiveness, and other structural reforms

Debts could crimp growth prospects in emerging markets

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INT

Debts issued by emerging markets have surged since 2008 and concerns are rising now monetary conditions are tightening